Thursday, August 08, 2013

A Few Notes on Interest Rate Swaps..

From the teachings of Andrew R Yong and Howard Corb..

Swaps

Contract among two counterparties to exchange periodic cash flows, based on a notional principal value

Types

o   Interest Rate Swaps [Same Currency]
o   Coupon Swap - Fixed Floating Swap
o   Basis Swap – Floating Floating Swap  [Basis = Both Float]
o   Inflation rate Swaps
o   Portfolio Swaps
o   Cross Currency Swaps
               

Motivation

Traditionally if the interest rates were likely to fall, investors purchased a Bond. As the rates fell, price increase would benefit investors. Today you could enter floating for fixed interest rate swap – as rates fall investor would pay lower floating rate in exchange for same high fixed rate.

o   Hedge Against Interest Rate Changes
o   Balance Sheet Management
o   Asset Hedging, Liability Hedging
o   Speculate on Interest Rate Changes

FiRe Fixed - In case of likely fall, it is better to receive fixed.

 

Interest Rate Swaps

Coupon Swap

o   Is a Fixed Floating Swap
o   Most common is Semi Bond vs. Threes
o   One Stream typically Fixed Semi Bond, typically pays Semi Annually at Fixed Rate on 30/360 basis. E.g. client pays T5 + 21 semi-annually on 30/360 basis. T5 is the yield of on the run 5 year Treasury. It could pay Semi Annually on ACT/360 basis as well. We gotta lookup in the Annual Money column in such a scenario.
o   Other Stream typically Floating Actual Money, pays Quarterly at Floating Rate on ACT/ 360 basis. E.g. dealer pays 3mL quarterly on Act/360. 3mL is the 3 month LIBOR.
o   When floating side is 3mL we focus exclusively on the fixed rate.




 


                                                       

Semi Bond typically pays 30/360 (B3)
Actual Money typically pays ACT/360 (M&A)

Basis Swap

o   Is a Floating Floating Swap

Definitions

Interest Rates, Bond Yield and Bond Price

Interest Rate ↑ Bond Price↓ Bond Yield ↑
Interest Rate ↓ Bond Price ↑ Bond Yield ↓
Bond Price says to Interest Rate, Puck You I go the other way
Yield says to Interest Rate,  I move with you
Interest Rates usually rise because of the inflationary expectations when economy is doing good. In such scenarios investors usually have other investment alternatives which are more lucrative and people jump out of bonds and flock to them. So when interest rates rise the bond prices drop and yields go up.

Yield Curve

Relationship between future interest rates and time

Zero Coupon Bond

o   Does not pay interest at periodic intervals
o   It is issued at discount from its par value and redeemed at par
o   Accumulated discount which is repaid represents compound interest
o   A Graph of IRR of this bond vs Range of Maturities is called Zero Coupon Yield Curve

Forward Interest Rate

Rate at which the investors can re- invest his deposit after a certain period in the future e.g. 6 month forward interest rate .

Forward Yield Curve

A graphical relationship of forward interest rates.

Spreads

Are typically quoted from dealers perspective.

Offer Side Spread

Spread at which the Dealer will receive Fixed.

Bid Side Spread

Spread at which the Dealer will pay Fixed.

Offer Side Swap Rate

Mid Market Yield of relevant on the run treasury + offer side spread

Bid Side Swap Rate

Mid Market Yield of relevant on the run treasury + Bid side spread

US Treasury Publishing Frequency and Swap Rates calculation

Term
Swap Rate Calculation
2,3,5,7 Year Notes
Mid Yield from Monthly Auction + Swap Spread
10 Year Notes
Mid Yield from Quarterly Auction + Swap Spread
30 Year Bonds
Mid Yield from Quarterly Auction + Swap Spread
12 Year Note
Same swap rate as 10 [no rhyme or reason to this]
All other e.g. 4,6,7,8,9,15,20,25 YR Notes
Linear Interpolation betn two adjacent OTR treasury yields

Prime Rate

o   Rate at which banks lend to favored customers [prime customers].
o   In US typically it is Fed Funds Rate + 300 basis points
o   Currently it is 3.25%

Fed Funds Rate

o   Overnight Interbank Rate
o   Fed sets the target 8 times a year
If yield = X% then future value of 1$ in 1 year will be 1/(1+x/100)




 


Monday, September 12, 2011

S&P

http://www.cnbc.com/id/44487678

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Debt Ceiling 101

http://www.businessinsider.com/10-things-you-need-to-know-about-the-debt-ceiling-2011#what-is-the-federal-debt-1

5 Great Slides From Goldman On What's At Stake In The Debt Ceiling Fight

Small yet Detailed

Friday, April 16, 2010

What in the Heck is CDS

is a hedging instrument. It's a Credit Derivative Contract, not traded in the exchange, done between two parties. Protection Buyer Protection Seller and Reference Entity [a Bond Obligation, of a corporation or government]

The protection buyer makes quarterly premium payments -- the “spread” -- to the protection seller. If the reference entity defaults, the protection seller pays the buyer the par value of the bond in exchange for physical delivery of the bond, although settlement may also be by cash or auction.[1][2] A default is referred to as a 'Credit Event' and include such events as failure to pay, restructuring and bankruptcy.[2] Most CDS’s are in the $10 million–$20 million range with maturities between one and 10 years.

Saturday, April 10, 2010

Entrepreneurs don't take risks! They do everything to minimize them!

Mantra is not high risk, high return. Mantra is low risk, high uncertainty, high return:) And more here - The total amount of capital that ever went into the Microsoft was less that 50000 bucks!

Sunday, March 28, 2010

Buy n Hold is Dead!

Because “it’s an easy way to lose, not make, money.” And a few more great points here:


a) Monitor them constantly, looking for any change that affects the reasons why you bought them in the first place

b) Buy them in wide scales

c) Take profits even on your winners. Bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered

d) No stock should comprise more than 20% of your portfolio at any time

e) The best way to sell a stock? – in increments

f) Invest in IRAs. Seek out high-yielding dividend-paying stocks that offer as much safety as possible. Cramer specifically mentioned master limited partnerships (also known as energy trusts), oil tanker stocks and real estate investment trusts.

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Who owns America!

CNBC has compiled a very noteworthy report on who are the biggest investors in US treasuries and bonds. The debt currently Hovers around $11.09 trillions in total, about $33000 per family! Whoops! Thats too much to owe!

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Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Way to go Bill!

Here's where we can track what Bill Gates has been upto! :) N looks like he's been upto very impressive things!

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Fed! And Its Independence

I would say a great analysis
We have a long way to go. Further, I would be the first to argue that the Fed made many mistakes on the road to the financial crisis of 2007-2009. They failed at consumer protection, at regulating derivatives, at risk supervision ... we could go on and on. But there are reasons for those failures, systemic reasons, in which a lot of interest groups, individuals and corporate entities had a hand. It seems unfair to load all the criticism onto the one institution that has kept us afloat.

Friday, November 20, 2009

Don't Sell America Short Yet! :)

A very good read :) Explains what experience delivers to you - ability to read the great words from a whole bunch of good words "If you have a good farm, with good crops and good soil and you know you're going to have five droughts in the next fifty years, you don't let it affect you that much."

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Interesting article on China's currency, Gold's rise n US Debt

The U.S. needs at least 5% growth in GDP to support its huge and increasing debt load. Raising U.S. rates to defend the dollar is political nonstarter.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

What makes Indian companies excel abroad?

Experts explained that it is the knowledge component and the managerial competence, which gives an edge to Indian companies to be competitive. Human resources are an obvious factor as the success of our IT companies has shown.

Apart from such fundamentals, going abroad requires a different set of attributes and skills: Entrepreneurship, legal acumen, financial deal making ability: we seem to be learning all these. Well written article :)

Friday, July 31, 2009

Recession By the numbers!

Key numbers :) and a good graph

David Oglivy on running the businesses! :)

Remember that Abraham Lincoln spoke of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. He left out the pursuit of profit. :) Tough to digest that this is advocated by someone who has been tasked with help raising the bottom line all his life! :)

http://postcards.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/07/21/david-ogilvys-best-advice-for-business/

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

SAP & IBM - How good of a fit they are!

"For every dollar of revenue that SAP books, there's five dollars of services, hardware and other software associated with that SAP system," Mills told me. "You really have to be careful about competing with your ecosystem. Because the modest amount of revenue and profit you might be able to get from an acquisition is likely to be dwarfed by the amount that you lose as you give up those ecosystem relationships." - Good analysis

Personal Finacial Stress Test!

A good tool @ CNN Money to check your financial health

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Monday, May 04, 2009

US Economic Recovery Index

A Good matrix to look at!

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Branding!

A Gem of a deck! Thanks Rehan Yar! I am already a fan of yours!

Saturday, February 07, 2009

Tech Trends!

Technology trends report by MS!